[RED DEMOCRATICA] How to Forecast Instability, One-on-One with Sobchak, Pakistan’s Leverage

 

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February 16, 2018 .     What Would Kennan Think? Event video & key quotes George F.. Kennan's name echoes throughout today's debates about U.S..-Russia policy. Do Kennan's core insights about the Soviet Union apply to Putin's Russia? What bearing does containment have on U.S.-Russia strategy today? An expert panel assessed these questions and more. Interview | Grace Kennan Warnecke: "Daughter of the Cold War" Pakistan's Leverage Wilson Center NOW How are smaller, weaker countries able to successfully resist the influence of larger, more powerful nations? The answer has a lot to do with understanding and exercising "leverage," according to Robert Hathaway, author of the new book, "The Leverage Paradox: Pakistan and the United States." How to Forecast Instability "All stable countries are alike, but all unstable countries become unstable in their own ways... This paper questions whether economic and socioeconomic trends alone could have held the keys to predicting the instability in the Middle East and North Africa region that began in late 2010 and posits that an overreliance on economic data can lead to misguided predictions..." ---National Security Fellow Michael Gordon One-on-One with Ksenia Sobchak Kennan Institute Director Matthew Rojansky sat down for a one-on-one with Russian presidential candidate Ksenia Sobchak to discuss her trip to Washington, U.S.-Russia relations, Ukraine, her political platform and the upcoming election. Wilson in the News The Political Gamesmanship Behind The 2018 Winter Olympics (NPR) "There's certainly a lot more skepticism here in South Korea about whether these gestures can lead to any lasting peace," says Jean H. Lee. Mideast Tensions Get Even Worse (CNN) "As if the broken, angry, dysfunctional Middle East needed another conflict, along came an unprecedented escalation between Israel, Iran, and Syria," writes Aaron David Miller. India's Teflon Man (The Cairo Review of Global Affairs) Prime Minister Narendra Modi has withstood a host of domestic challenges "in part because of the new type of leadership he brings to India," writes Michael Kugelman. Upcoming Events February 21, 2018// 9:30am - 11:30am Urban Risk or Resilience? Improving Informal Settlements in Urban Africa February 21, 2018// 2:00– 3:00pm Are Iran and Israel Going to War in Syria and Lebanon? February 22, 2018// 1:45pm - 3:15pm Confronting Challenges to the Liberal World Order SEE ALL UPCOMING EVENTS → Support the Center Much of the Center's programming is made possible with your support. Assist us by making a tax-deductible contribution. CONTRIBUTE NOW → Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up to receive your own copy. Wilson Center Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center One Woodrow Wilson Plaza 1300 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Washington, DC 20004-3027 T 202-691-4000 © Copyright 2018. Wilson Center. All rights reserved.

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