Tuesday, July 7, 2009

[RED DEMOCRATICA] CFR.org Daily Brief, July 7, 2009



From the Council on Foreign Relations

July 7, 2009

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- Obama Calls for ‘Shared Progress' in Russia Speech.

- Ethnic tensions rise in China as unrest continues.

- UN Security Council condemns N. Korea.

- Italy preps for G8 summit.

Top of the Agenda: Obama’s speech in Russia

In a speech at the National Economic School in Moscow Tuesday, U.S. President Barack Obama said the United States and Russia are not "destined to be antagonists" (WSJ). He emphasized the U.S. commitment to nuclear nonproliferation (NYT), citing a new treaty he and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev signed Monday requiring both parties to cut their strategic nuclear arsenals by at least a quarter.



Obama said the two countries should be united in their work to prevent North Korea and Iran from becoming nuclear powers. He also acknowledged Russia's opposition to the U.S. missile defense program in Europe, but emphasized that the plans to configure that program have "nothing to do" with Russia. "[I]f the threat from Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs is eliminated, the driving force for missile defense in Europe will be eliminated. That is in our mutual interest," he said.

-Full text of Obama's speech is available here.

The U.S.-Russia nuclear agreement, which came after a day of negotiation between the two leaders in Moscow, will reduce the number (Moscow Times) of nuclear warheads and missiles to the lowest level since the Cold War. Obama and Medvedev agreed to reduce their respective countries' nuclear arsenals from 2,200 to between 1,500 and 1,675 warheads, and from 1,600 to between 500 and 1,100 delivery vehicles.

In the talks with Medvedev, Obama also urged Russia (Ria Novosti) to respect Georgia's "sovereignty and territorial integrity."

The transcript of the joint press conference with Medvedev and Obama is available here.

Background:
-CFR experts Charles D. Ferguson and Stephen Sestanovich discuss the Obama-Medvedev summit in a recent media conference call.

Analysis:
-Reuters has reaction to Obama's speech from Russia market watchers.

- The Obama administration has billed the summit as a chance for the two countries to reset their relationship, but Russia expert Clifford Gaddy tells Spiegel that Russia has "never warmed to the reset idea," and is more interested in boosting its own image as a global power.

- In a new interview, CFR arms control expert Charles Ferguson says "nothing revolutionary" was agreed to on arms control issues in the U.S.-Russia summit.

PACIFIC RIM: China Protests Continue

Following Sunday's rioting by ethnic Muslim Uighurs in Urumqi, the capital of western China's Xinjiang province in which 156 died, thousands of Han Chinese protesters took to the streets (NYT) Tuesday. Police fired tear gas at the protesters who reportedly carried clubs, pipes, and shovels and called for revenge. The protests defy a government lockdown (Xinhua), including an imposed curfew in Urumqi. Internet services were also cut off. BBC reports earlier on Tuesday Uighur women had rallied against the arrest of more than 1,400 people over the clashes on Sunday.


Background:


A CFR Backgrounder looks at the Uighur population in Xinjiang.

Xinhua has a backgrounder on the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region.

Analysis:


-The Wall Street Journal's China Journal blog looks at the role of the media and the Internet in China's handling of the crisis in Urumqi.

The Christian Science Monitor notes the difficulty of finding Uighur sources for news stories. "For a week last year I tried to gauge ordinary people's feelings there about the authorities. Not one person I spoke to would give his real name, and most whom I approached wanted nothing to do with me," writes staff writer Peter Ford.

In Foreign Policy, Centre for Independent Studies policy fellow John Lee says China feels it must respond harshly to the ethnic protests to maintain state stability.

North Korea: The United Nations Security Council on Monday condemned (Reuters) North Korea's missile launches last week, charging the country with violating several Security Council resolutions. A Security Council resolution passed in June following Pyongyang's second nuclear test had imposed tougher sanctions on the country.

A CFR Backgrounder looks at the Six-Party Talks on North Korea's nuclear program.

MIDEAST: Mousavi to Continue Campaign

Iranian opposition leader Mir Hossein-Mousavi vowed Monday to continue his fight (AP) against what he says is an illegitimate government, but indicated that his strategy will move away from the massive street protests that provoked a harsh crackdown last month.

Iraq: The Iraqi government banned organized visits (al Jazeera) to Saddam Hussein's grave on Monday. The article says thousands of Sunni Arab supporters regularly visit the site to commemorate the leader, who was executed in 2006 after being convicted of crimes against humanity.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: U.S. Troops Killed in Afghanistan

Seven U.S. troops were killed in Afghanistan (WSJ) on Monday, making it one of the bloodiest days for the United States since the war began in 2001. The deaths are indicative of the intensity of the fighting as the United States begins its new offensive against the Taliban in the southern part of Afghanistan.

Pakistan: The Pakistani government launched an appeal (AP) against a court decision that freed Hafiz Muhammad Saeed, a Muslim cleric who India believes played a part in last year's terrorist attacks in Mumbai.

Reuters has a Q&A on Saeed and the Lashkar-e-Taiba, the group believed to be responsible for the Mumbai attacks.

This CFR Backgrounder profiles Lashkar-e-Taiba.

AFRICA: Kenyan Tribunal

Kenya will set up a tribunal (UPI) by 2010 to try those responsible for instigating the 2007 violence that killed some 1,500 people after the reelection of President Mwai Kibaki. Should that tribunal prove unsuccessful, the International Criminal Court is set to take over (CNN) the investigation and prosecution process.

Liberia: A government spokesperson said Liberian President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf was surprised at the country's truth and reconciliation commission's recommendation that she be barred from office (BBC) due to her past support for former warlord Charles Taylor. The commission published a report last week calling for a ban from holding public office on Johnson and dozens of other politicians.

AMERICAS: Clinton, Zelaya to Meet

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will meet (Reuters) with ousted Honduran President Manuel Zelaya today. The talks follow Zelaya's failed attempt to return to Honduras over the weekend. The interim Honduran government has also sent a delegation (BBC) to Washington to defend Zelaya's overthrow and to meet with the Organization of American States.

United States: The Senate will consider (WashPost) the Obama administration's climate bill this week. Several potential compromises on the table could bring the legislation the votes it needs to pass, but environmental activists are wary that such changes could erode the bill beyond recognition.

This CFR.org Crisis Guide looks at the policy options for coping with climate change.

EUROPE: G8 Push on Climate Change

The European Commission will push for commitments (EU Observer) on climate change from the Group of Eight leaders at their summit in Italy later this week.

EU President Jose Manuel Barroso said he wants to "create a sense of urgency" on the issue ahead of the climate summit at Copenhagen in December.

The Wall Street Journal looks at challenges facing Italy as it prepares to host the G8 summit. The country is still recovering from an April earthquake in L'Aquila, the town where the meeting is to take place, and Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi is dealing with controversy surrounding his personal life.

 

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