Wednesday, July 8, 2009

[RED DEMOCRATICA] CFR.org Daily Brief, July 8, 2009



From the Council on Foreign Relations

July 8, 2009

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- Chinese president leaves G8; troops deployed in Xinjiang.

- Indonesia votes.

- Mumbai cuts water supply.

- Costa Rican president to mediate Honduran crisis.

Top of the Agenda: Chinese Troops Flood Xinjiang

Thousands of Chinese security forces have been deployed into Urumqi, Xinjiang's regional capital, in an attempt to quell turmoil that has led to over 150 deaths and more than 1,400 arrests in recent days. A BBC correspondent in Urumqi says the situation "feels like martial law in everything but name." The troop deployment comes after fresh unrest on Tuesday when thousands of angry ethnic Han Chinese wielding makeshift weapons engaged in sporadic revenge attacks against Uighurs after deadly riots Sunday.

Meanwhile, Chinese President Hu Jintao left the G8 summit in Italy early on Wednesday and returned to Beijing to deal with the violence (WashPost). The Wall Street Journal says Hu's departure from the high-profile international event underlines the severity of the challenge the Xinjiang violence presents to China's leadership.

Kazakhstan's government on Tuesday warned its citizens against traveling to Xinjiang (FT). Kazakhstan has a large Uighur population, many of whom emigrated from China in recent decades.

Background:

A CFR Backgrounder looks at the economic disparities in Xinjiang, and how they have worsened ethnic tensions.

Analysis:

Newsweek looks at the evolution of China's public relations strategy, as evidenced in the latest crisis.

MIDEAST: UN Gaza Investigation Nears End

A United Nations team investigating whether Israel and Hamas committed war crimes during a conflict earlier this year said its work is nearly done (JPost), but that it is not yet prepared to make a conclusion. International investigator Richard Goldstein said Tuesday that the commission's work was hindered because Israel would not cooperate with the investigation.

Yemen: At least two people were killed on Tuesday when Yemeni police opened fire on a crowd (al Jazeera) of protesters demonstrating to mark the 15th anniversary of the end of the country's civil war. Nine others were wounded.

PACIFIC RIM: Indonesian Presidential Elections

Indonesians went to the polls on Tuesday to elect a new president (AP). Incumbent President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono appears set for reelection over former president Megawati Sukarnoputri and outgoing Vice President Jusuf Kalla.

Reuters has reaction to the election from economic analysts in the region.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: Mumbai Water Shortage

In the midst of one of the worst water shortages in the city's history, Mumbai's municipal corporation has cut water supplies by 30 percent. BBC says the cuts will affect hundreds of thousands of households as well as hospitals and hotels.

Mumbai's water supply depends on monsoon rainfall, which has been sporadic this year.

Pakistan: At least 16 people were killed (NYT) in a U.S. drone attack on South Waziristan on Tuesday, officials said. The attack targeted the office of Pakistani Taliban chief Baitullah Mehsud, reports the Daily Times.

A CFR Backgrounder looks at Pakistan's security forces, and how they are changing in light of the country's domestic insurgency.

AFRICA: ICC Appeal on Sudan

Prosecutors filed an appeal (Al Jazeera) against the International Criminal Court's March decision not to indict Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir for genocide. ICC chief prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo is in Ethiopia in talks with African Union leaders on the issue.

South Africa: Some 70,000 members of the National Union of Mineworkers in South Africa plan to strike (Times of London) on Wednesday, interrupting work on the stadiums to be used in the 2010 World Cup. The NUM is demanding a 13 percent pay raise.

AMERICAS: Mediator Chosen for Honduras Crisis

Costa Rican President Oscar Arias will serve as the mediator (LAT) in talks beginning Thursday to resolve the political crisis that has emerged since the overthrow of Honduran President Manuel Zelaya in June. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced Arias's role after meeting with Zelaya in Washington. Clinton said Arias, who won a Nobel Peace Prize in 1987, is the "natural person to assume this role."

A transcript of Clinton's remarks is available here.

The Christian Science Monitor examines Clinton's approach to the situation in Honduras, noting wariness of "appearing like the hegemonic power of old that imposed its will on smaller neighbors."

Energy: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said Tuesday they might impose tougher restrictions (NYT) on energy speculators. The CFTC proposal would limit the amount of money (WSJ) a trader can invest in a given commodity at a time.

EUROPE: U.S.-Russia Summit Wraps Up

U.S. President Barack Obama concluded his two days of meetings (WSJ) with Russian leaders on Tuesday. Obama met over breakfast with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, whom he later described in an interview as "tough, smart, shrewd, very unsentimental, very pragmatic." Obama said he does not "anticipate a meeting of the minds anytime soon" on areas where the two men disagree, citing Russian policy toward Georgia in particular.

Obama left Russia to join the G8 summit (AP) in Italy on Wednesday.

United Kingdom: War crimes suspects from Rwanda and the Balkans living in the United Kingdom could be tried (Guardian) under UK law, according to a new proposal from Justice Secretary Jack Straw. The plan would allow prosecution in the United Kingdom of anyone suspected of war crimes since 1991.

TRANSNATIONAL: U.S. Immigration Policy

A new CFR Task Force Report calls for U.S. immigration policy reform.

In an interview with CFR, Task Force Report cochair Jeb Bush says reforming the immigration system is complex and fraught with political hurdles yet it is increasingly vital for the U.S. and regional economy.

 

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