Thursday, July 9, 2009

[RED DEMOCRATICA] CFR.org Daily Brief, July 09, 2009



From the Council on Foreign Relations

July 9, 2009

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- G8 reaches climate agreement.

- Chinese rioters threatened with execution.

- Car bombings in Iraq

- India gets nuclear submarine.

Top of the Agenda: G8 Leaders Reach Agreement on Climate Change

Leaders of the Group of Eight agreed to work to significantly cut (CNN) their greenhouse gas emissions at their summit in Italy on Wednesday. The countries committed to cutting carbon emissions by at least 80 percent by 2050, but they stopped short (WSJ) of specifying tactics they would use to accomplish the emissions reduction, and of setting shorter-term goals.

G8 leaders "called upon major emerging economies to undertake quantifiable actions to collectively reduce emissions significantly below business-as-usual by a specified year," the White House said. But Group of Five developing nations, led by China and India, would not commit (LAT) to the G8's specific targets, citing concerns about stemming economic growth.

The disagreements over the 2050 goals underline the larger difficulties (NYT) facing those attempting to forge a deal at the international conference on the issue of climate change in Copenhagen this December. Mike Froman, the chief U.S. negotiator for the G8, said the United States will continue trying to convince developing nations to "firm up commitments" on climate change in the run up to Copenhagen.

Background:

A CFR Crisis Guide examines the policy implications of climate change.

Analysis:

In an analysis piece by Reuters, Alden Meyer of the Union of Concerned Scientists said although the G8's targets represent "progress" because they are science-based, "it's a missed opportunity if they don't set clear 2050 and 2020 targets about how to reach that goal."

The Christian Science Monitor's Bright Green blog looks at how countries could decide by how much they should have to reduce their carbon emissions.

MIDEAST: Car Bombings in Iraq

Two car bombings on Thursday killed at least 34 people and wounded 70 in Tall Afar, a northern Iraqi city with a large Shiite Turkmen population. The Los Angeles Times reports militants appear to be focusing attacks on the country's north in the days since U.S. troops withdrew from Iraq's major cities.

A CFR Daily Analysis Brief says some analysts are wary about the U.S. pullout from Iraq.

Saudi Arabia: A Saudi court convicted 330 people (Al Arabiya) of working with al-Qaeda on Wednesday, and sentenced one defendant to death. The trials related to terrorist attacks in Riyadh between 2003 and 2006.

PACIFIC RIM: China Threatens Execution

A Chinese official in the city of Urumqi said those who committed crimes during ethnic riots earlier this week may be executed (al Jazeera). Li Zhi, the Communist party chief for Urumqi, issued the warning to the more than 1,400 people arrested. Ethnic clashes on Sunday killed over 150 people and injured over 800. Protests seemed to be calming down Wednesday.

The Washington Post profiles exiled Uighur leader Rebiya Kadeer, who the Chinese government accuses of orchestrating the protests, a charge Kadeer denies.

Beijing Arrests: Chinese officials confirmed Thursday they had arrested four employees, including an Australian national, of the mining giant Rio Tinto on charges of stealing state secrets that could hurt China's economic security. The Wall Street Journal says the arrests come amid rising tension between China and the mining giants over iron-ore prices and a failed $19.5 billion deal between Rio Tinto and China's state-run aluminum group Chinalco. Australia's Foreign Minister Stephen Smith, however, said he saw no evidence (BBC) to suggest any connection between the detentions and the canceled deal.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: India’s Nuclear Sub

India will launch its first nuclear submarine later this month, the Financial Times reports. The submarine would add India to a short list of countries with the capability to launch a nuclear strike from the sea.

Pakistan: At least 45 people, believed to be Taliban militants, were killed in suspected U.S. drone attacks (McClatchy) on South Waziristan on Wednesday, local officials said.

AFRICA: DRC Army to Punish Rights Abusers

The Democratic Republic of Congo's army pledged on Wednesday to hold accountable (BBC) any soldiers who commit human rights abuses. Nongovernmental organization Human Rights Watch said last week that the army has systematically committed mass rapes in the country's east.

Somalia: Pirates off the coast of Somalia hijacked a Turkish cargo ship (AFP) with 23 people on board on Wednesday. Reuters details the other ships Somali pirates are still holding for ransom.

AMERICAS: Mexican Army Accused of Human Rights Abuse

Human rights groups are accusing the Mexican army of committing widespread human rights violations (WashPost) in its war against the drug trade. Mexican officials say there have been some cases of abuse, but only in isolated incidents.

Honduras: Ousted Honduran President Manuel Zelaya said on Wednesday that he has no intention of negotiating (CNN) with the interim government that overthrew him. During talks in Costa Rica this week, he said: "It's simply listening through a mediator ... to see how they are planning their departure."

EUROPE: Karadzic Immunity Rejected

The tribunal at The Hague on Wednesday rejected former Bosnian Serb Leader Radovan Karadzic's claim that he cannot be prosecuted on genocide (Irish Times) and other charges because of an alleged immunity deal.

Karadzic argues former U.S. envoy to the region Richard Holbrooke promised him immunity in exchange for his commitment to leave politics. Holbrooke denies the story.

TRANSNATIONAL: IMF Predicts Economic Growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted worldwide economic growth will improve (MarketWatch) to 2.5 percent in 2010. This estimate is more optimistic than the IMF's earlier projection of 1.9 percent.

A CFR Crisis Guide examines the global economic crisis.

 

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