Wednesday, April 21, 2010

[RED DEMOCRATICA] CFR.org Daily News Brief, April 21, 2010

 

From the Council on Foreign Relations

April 21, 2010

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- European Airports Resume Flights
- Odierno : Third al-Qaeda Leader Killed
- China Faces Growing Pressure on Yuan
- Somali Pirates Seize Another Ship

Top of the Agenda: European Airports Resume Flights

European airports resumed flights (BBC) nearly one week after the Icelandic volcano's ash cloud halted travel in the region. Air traffic agency Eurocontrol said roughly 75 percent of European flights would operate Wednesday, though the buildup of ninety-five thousand flight cancellations would cause delays. The international air transport group IATA said the disruption cost the airline industry $1.7 billion. The Royal Navy retrieved nearly three hundred British travelers stranded in northern Spain. Responding to criticism that the EU lagged in reopening airspace, the UN International Civil Aviation Organization said it would lead efforts to create a global safety standard for flying in the presence of air-borne ash. Other businesses were also hit by the delays, including Japanese and German carmakers; South Korean mobile phones; European clothing production in Bangladesh; and produce exporters in Zambia, Kenya, and Uganda.

The U.S. Travel Association said the incident cost the U.S. economy $650 million and affected (WSJ) some six thousand U.S. jobs.

Analysis:

In the Financial Times, Christopher Meyer says policymakers' overly cautious approach to the ash cloud, focusing on minimizing only one type of risk, fails to consider systemic costs and the "substitute risk of action."

The Peterson Institute's Jacob Kirkegaard says airlines at the brink of bankruptcy could collapse and Europe's GDP will suffer as a result of the ash-cloud disruption.

MIDDLE EAST: Odierno Says Third al-Qaeda Leader Killed

The commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, General Ray Odierno, said Iraqi and U.S. forces killed (AFP) a regional al-Qaeda leader Tuesday, two days after Iraqi forced killed the top two commanders of al-Qaeda in Iraq.

Iran: Iran's Revolutionary Guards are set to begin (RFE/RL) a three-day military drill in the Persian Gulf on April 22, during which Iranian-made missiles will be tested.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates's memo on Iran's nuclear policy is a reminder that the White House needs more effective policies to counter Iran's nuclear progress, says CFR President Richard Haass.

PACIFIC RIM: China Faces Growing Pressure on Yuan

China will face growing international pressure to begin appreciating (FT) its currency, as G20 finance ministers and central bankers meet Thursday in Washington.

In this roundup, six experts debate whether the Obama administration's approach to China's currency policy is the right one, and why.

South Korea: The South Korean government says it uncovered (TimesofLondon) a plot to assassinate the most senior North Korean government official ever to have defected.

Read CFR's Asia Unbound blog, featuring timely analysis from CFR's Asia experts.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: Bakiyev Says He Is Still Kyrgyz President

Ousted Kyrgyz president Kurmanbek Bakiyev said from exile in Belarus that he is still president (AP). Interim leaders said he signed a letter of resignation before leaving the country.

In this podcast, CFR's Evan Feigenbaum says the fundamental challenge facing Kyrgyzstan's interim government "is to restore and sustain order but then set the country back on a path to democracy."

Afghanistan: NATO acknowledged it killed (Reuters) four Afghan civilians when it opened fire on a car in southeast Afghanistan this week, after initially saying two of the dead were insurgents.

AFRICA: Somali Pirates Seize Another Ship

Four suspected Somali pirates seized (WSJ) a Panamanian-flagged, Liberian-owned carrier with twenty-one crew on board, the fourth ship captured in less than a week.

Sudan: The White House said Sudan's recent election was tainted (Reuters) by "serious irregularities" and that the United States would help ensure fair conduct in a 2011 referendum on southern independence.

AMERICAS: Brazil Bank Chief Pushes Yuan Reform

Brazil's central bank chief Henrique Meirelles said (MercoPress) a stronger Chinese yuan is "absolutely critical for the equilibrium of the world economy" ahead of the G20 meeting of finance ministers in Washington.

Argentina: A special tribunal sentenced (NYT) Argentina's last military president, Reynaldo Benito Bignone, to twenty-five years in prison for illegal raids, kidnapping, and torture at military concentration camps outside Buenos Aires from 1976 to 1978.

EUROPE: IMF, EU Begin Greece Bailout Negotiations

The IMF and EU began negotiating (FT) a rescue package for Greece, driving the spreads on Greek/German ten-year bonds to a twelve-year high.

TRANSNATIONAL: Emerging Countries Push for IMF, WB Say

Developing countries will demand (Reuters) a 6 percent shift in voting power at the World Bank this week and increased say in the IMF. The countries say they are contributing more funds, while a eurozone country, Greece, is in need of rescue.

 

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